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You asked

Why does payback period look shorter than reality?

Metrics suggest fast recovery but true costs are higher.

Symptom

At positive twelve percent and trending up week over week, the holdout lift figure is clean.

Cause

The mechanism is marginal cost accumulation.

Impact

At fourteen months, each acquired customer requires more than a year of revenue before acquisition cost is recovered.

Full diagnostic context

Metrics suggest fast recovery but true costs are higher.

At positive twelve percent and trending up week over week, the holdout lift figure is clean.

The mechanism is marginal cost accumulation.

At fourteen months, each acquired customer requires more than a year of revenue before acquisition cost is recovered.