← Back to Episodes

You asked

Why does retention look stable but users keep leaving?

Retention metrics look fine but users are quietly churning.

Symptom

At ninety-four percent, blended net revenue retention is holding near benchmark.

Cause

The mechanism is composition drift.

Impact

When rescued revenue is separated and each cohort's forward re-churn probability is applied independently, the durability picture diverges materially from the blended figure.

Full diagnostic context

Retention metrics look fine but users are quietly churning.

At ninety-four percent, blended net revenue retention is holding near benchmark.

The mechanism is composition drift.

When rescued revenue is separated and each cohort's forward re-churn probability is applied independently, the durability picture diverges materially from the blended figure.